Can you solve the rebel supplies riddle? – Alex Gendler

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In this lesson, participants are tasked with ensuring that boxes of supplies for a rebel base comply with specific sealing rules based on the numbers on their bottoms. The key takeaway is to recognize that only the box with the black lid needs inspection to confirm it is not incorrectly placed on an even-numbered box, while the box with the red lid does not require checking, illustrating the logical fallacy of affirming the consequent. Ultimately, the lesson emphasizes the importance of understanding logical conditions and avoiding common reasoning errors in problem-solving.

Can You Solve the Rebel Supplies Riddle?

The Mission

Imagine you’re in charge of delivering essential supplies to a rebel base located deep within enemy territory. To ensure the supplies pass through customs without issues, there’s a strict rule: if a box has an even number on the bottom, it must be sealed with a red top. As the boxes are being loaded onto the transport, you receive an urgent message: one of the boxes is sealed incorrectly, but no one knows which one. The boxes are still on the conveyor belt, with two facing down (one marked with a four and another with a seven) and two facing up (one with a black top and another with a red top). If the protocol is violated, the entire shipment will be confiscated, putting your allies in danger. However, any boxes you remove for inspection won’t make it onto this delivery, depriving the rebels of crucial supplies. The transport is leaving soon, with or without the cargo.

Which Boxes to Inspect?

At first glance, it might seem necessary to inspect all four boxes to check what’s on the other side. However, only two boxes need your attention. Let’s revisit the protocol: even-numbered boxes must have a red top. The rule doesn’t mention anything about odd-numbered boxes, so you can ignore the box marked with a seven.

What about the box with the red top? Do we need to check if the number on the bottom is even? Surprisingly, no. The rule states that if a box has an even number, it should have a red top. It doesn’t say that only boxes with even numbers can have red tops or that a box with a red top must have an even number. The requirement is one-directional. Therefore, we don’t need to check the box with the red lid. However, we must check the box with the black lid to ensure it wasn’t mistakenly placed on an even-numbered box.

Understanding the Logical Fallacy

If you initially thought the rules implied a symmetrical relationship between the number on the box and the lid color, you’re not alone. This common mistake is known as affirming the consequent, or the fallacy of the converse. This fallacy incorrectly assumes that just because a certain condition is necessary for a result, it must also be sufficient. For example, having an atmosphere is necessary for a planet to be habitable, but it’s not sufficient—planets like Venus have atmospheres but lack other conditions for habitability.

A Different Perspective

If this still seems confusing, let’s consider a different scenario. Imagine the boxes contain groceries. One box is marked for a steakhouse and another for a vegetarian restaurant. Two more boxes are upside down: one labeled as containing meat and another as containing onions. Which ones should you check? It’s simple—ensure the meat isn’t being sent to the vegetarian restaurant and that the box going there doesn’t contain meat. The onions can go to either place, and the box bound for the steakhouse can contain either product.

Why does this scenario seem easier? Although it’s formally the same problem—with two possible conditions for the top and bottom of the box—this situation is based on familiar real-world needs. We easily understand that while vegetarians only eat vegetables, they’re not the only ones who do so. In the original problem, the rules seemed more arbitrary, making the logical connections harder to see.

Conclusion

By thinking outside the box—literally and figuratively—you’ve successfully ensured the supplies reach the rebels, allowing them to continue their fight. This exercise demonstrates the importance of understanding logical conditions and avoiding common fallacies in problem-solving.

  1. Reflect on the initial assumptions you made when reading about the box inspection problem. How did your understanding change after reading the solution?
  2. Have you encountered similar logical fallacies, like affirming the consequent, in your personal or professional life? How did you address them?
  3. Consider the alternative scenario with the groceries. Why do you think it was easier to understand compared to the original problem with the boxes?
  4. How can recognizing logical fallacies improve decision-making in high-pressure situations, such as the one described in the article?
  5. Discuss a time when thinking “outside the box” helped you solve a problem. What strategies did you use to arrive at the solution?
  6. In what ways can this exercise of identifying logical conditions be applied to other areas of life or work?
  7. How does understanding the difference between necessary and sufficient conditions help in problem-solving and critical thinking?
  8. What lessons from this article can you apply to improve your approach to complex challenges in the future?
  1. Activity: Box Inspection Simulation

    Imagine you are in charge of inspecting the boxes. Create a physical or digital simulation where you have to decide which boxes to inspect based on the rules provided. Use colored paper or a digital tool to represent the boxes and their tops. Discuss your choices with classmates and explain your reasoning.

  2. Activity: Logical Fallacy Exploration

    Research the fallacy of affirming the consequent and other common logical fallacies. Create a presentation or infographic that explains these fallacies with examples. Share your findings with the class and discuss how understanding these fallacies can improve decision-making.

  3. Activity: Real-World Scenario Role-Play

    In groups, create a role-play scenario similar to the grocery delivery example. Assign roles such as inspectors, restaurant owners, and delivery personnel. Act out the scenario and discuss how the logical rules apply. Reflect on how this exercise helps clarify the original problem.

  4. Activity: Creative Storytelling

    Write a short story or comic strip that illustrates the main concepts of the article, such as logical conditions and fallacies. Use characters and settings to make the story engaging. Share your story with the class and explain how it relates to the problem-solving process discussed in the article.

  5. Activity: Debate on Logical Conditions

    Organize a debate on the importance of understanding logical conditions in everyday decision-making. Prepare arguments for and against the necessity of these skills. Engage in a structured debate with your classmates and reflect on how this understanding can impact real-life situations.

You’re overseeing the delivery of crucial supplies to a rebel base deep in enemy territory. To get past customs, all packages must follow a strict protocol: if a box is marked with an even number on the bottom, it must be sealed with a red top. The boxes are already being loaded onto the transport when you receive an urgent message. One of the four boxes was sealed incorrectly, but they lost track of which one. All the boxes are still on the conveyor belt. Two are facing down: one marked with a four, and one with a seven. The other two are facing up: one with a black top, another with a red one. You know that any violation of the protocol will get the entire shipment confiscated and put your allies in grave danger. But any boxes you pull off for inspection won’t make it onto this delivery run, depriving the rebels of critically needed supplies. The transport leaves in a few moments, with or without its cargo.

Which box or boxes should you grab off the conveyor belt? Pause the video now if you want to figure it out for yourself!

It may seem like you need to inspect all four boxes to see what’s on the other side of each. But in fact, only two of them matter. Let’s look at the protocol again. All it says is that even-numbered boxes must have a red top. It doesn’t say anything about odd-numbered boxes, so we can just ignore the box marked with a seven.

What about the box with a red top? Don’t we need to check that the number on the bottom is even? As it turns out, we don’t. The protocol says that if a box has an even number, then it should have a red top. It doesn’t say that only boxes with even numbers can have red tops, or that a box with a red top must have an even number. The requirement only goes in one direction. So we don’t need to check the box with the red lid. We do, however, need to check the one with the black lid to make sure it wasn’t incorrectly placed on an even-numbered box.

If you initially assumed the rules imply a symmetrical match between the number on the box and the type of lid, you’re not alone. That error is common and is known as affirming the consequent, or the fallacy of the converse. This fallacy wrongly assumes that just because a certain condition is necessary for a given result, it must also be sufficient for it. For instance, having an atmosphere is a necessary condition for being a habitable planet. But this doesn’t mean that it’s a sufficient condition – planets like Venus have atmospheres but lack other criteria for habitability.

If that still seems hard to wrap your head around, let’s look at a slightly different problem. Imagine the boxes contain groceries. You see one marked for shipment to a steakhouse and one to a vegetarian restaurant. Then you see two more boxes turned upside down: one labeled as containing meat, and another as containing onions. Which ones do you need to check? Well, it’s easy – make sure the meat isn’t being shipped to the vegetarian restaurant, and that the box going there doesn’t contain meat. The onions can go to either place, and the box bound for the steakhouse can contain either product.

Why does this scenario seem easier? Formally, it’s the same problem – two possible conditions for the top of the box, and two for the bottom. But in this case, they’re based on familiar real-world needs, and we easily understand that while vegetarians only eat vegetables, they’re not the only ones who do so. In the original problem, the rules seemed more arbitrary, and when they’re abstracted that way, the logical connections become harder to see.

In your case, you’ve managed to get enough supplies through to enable the resistance to fight another day. And you did it by thinking outside the box – both sides of it.

CriticalInvolving careful judgment or evaluation to form a conclusion or decision – To develop a strong argument, it is essential to engage in critical analysis of all available evidence.

ThinkingThe process of using one’s mind to consider or reason about something – Effective thinking requires questioning assumptions and exploring different perspectives.

LogicA systematic method of reasoning to arrive at a valid conclusion – Understanding the principles of logic helps in constructing sound arguments and identifying fallacies.

SuppliesResources or materials needed for a particular purpose – In a debate, having adequate supplies of research materials can strengthen your position.

BoxesContainers used for storing or organizing items – When organizing your thoughts, it can be helpful to categorize ideas into different conceptual boxes.

EvenUsed to emphasize something surprising or extreme – Even the most complex problems can be solved with clear and logical thinking.

RedA color often associated with warning or attention – In critical thinking exercises, highlighting key points in red can help emphasize their importance.

TopThe highest or most important rank or position – At the top of the list of critical thinking skills is the ability to evaluate evidence objectively.

FallacyA mistaken belief or error in reasoning – Recognizing a fallacy in an argument is crucial for maintaining logical consistency.

InspectTo examine something carefully to ensure accuracy or quality – Before accepting any argument, it is important to inspect the underlying assumptions and evidence.

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